r/StLouis Aug 12 '21

Based on latest Census data, St. Louis city's population remained above 300k in 2020

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u/codextreme07 Aug 13 '21

In a weird way it kind of is. It’s 100% shifting the problem elsewhere but the reason the city dropped population is lower income residents fled north city for north county. Last I look at the data our median income was growing over time which means more high earners are moving to the city.

You can see that playing out in my neighborhood of Shaw, and it a lesser extent dog town where I used to live. Everyone moving in is typically educated, and working in a STEM field. If that trend continues the income demographics become attractive to developers. I think we are seeing that now with the boom of development in Midtown, CWE and the Grove.

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u/julieannie Tower Grove Aug 13 '21

Yeah, I think the last data I saw had more college educated people in my part of South City than the parts of St. Charles County I used to live in. Same for household income. That was the mid-census data reports but I'd expect to see similar data once this census is fully presented and sorted through.

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u/daGOAT816 Aug 13 '21

So do you think County “growth” is just people moving from the city? There is a substantial amount of development in the central corridor for a city that’s losing population and they seem to fetch decent rents as well. Maybe within the last few years the city has started slowly growing in population and we don’t know it yet. If not one has to ask, how many more people will leave before STL changes the trend.

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u/UF0_T0FU Downtown Aug 13 '21

The general consensus is that people are leaving North City faster than people are moving into the Central Corridor.

Its anecdotal, but most people I know in CWE, Midtown, Tower Grove, etc are transplants from other regions.

Meanwhile, native St Louisians from North City are fueling population growth in The County.

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u/daGOAT816 Aug 13 '21

Makes sense. I knew 2 people who moved to STL Metro and they both moved to St Charles County. 1 of which has sense left STL.

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u/SnowballSymphony Aug 13 '21

Yeah but those STEM professionals move to Ladue/T&C/Webster/Kirkwood when they start a family.

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u/TraptNSuit Aug 13 '21

On the plus side? Gen Z is even less likely to start a family than Millennials. Downside of course being replacement rate is going down too with that. But that's a problem for 50 years from now us...

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u/codextreme07 Aug 13 '21

I don’t know if that’s necessarily true anymore. Probably still happens, but I see a bunch of school age kids in my neighborhood.

More than likely they are in a local charter or private school though.