It's not a snapshot, it's a prediction based on past values run through a model designed to give "real time" information on the pandemic.

It may or may not be a good guess, but it's not a fact or a measurement.

If you're following data, fine. A model is not data, it's based on data and algorithms and the latter can make the data say anything at all.

the statement that we’re at a local maximum/minimum is a mathematical fact based on Rt=1

The entire statement and post is based on a tool called Covidestim which is a Bayesian estimation tool for real time COVID statistics that was developed last year.

1) It's an estimation tool based on probabilities, not a crystal ball. It doesn't produce facts, only guesses.

2) The tool has apparently never been updated for the Delta variant, which has significant differences from the original spreading patterns.

What makes discourse toxic are a refusal to listen with an open mind and belief in dogma and emotionally appealing conclusions, neither of which I am guilty of here.

It can change, but the entire debate about whether it's morally right/legal to force other people to change because we think they should is the cornerstone of moral thought.

IE, it's not as simple as you're making it.

I didn't say there was "evidence". It's just a tendency toward lower lethality and easier spreading statistically.

it’s possible that by getting covid a couple of times our immune systems will get better at handling it

Based on what? Our immune systems recognize stuff they've seen before, but they don't learn the way this seems to imply.

1) "immunity" just means a strong likelihood of not dying from a re-infection. Vaccinated people and those with antibodies can still spread it.

2) Kids under 12 aren't vaccinated and more are being born all the time.

It's endemic already. However, as it mutates it's going to slowly become less lethal... not with an individual mutation, but statistically overall. Vaccine variants will be developed that will protect against a given year's variants of COVID, just like flu vaccines we take now.

It won't take the rest of your life unless you die in 2-3 years. We'll be out of this in a year and a half if everyone would/could get vaccinated and obey containment measures. Twice that if people don't.

Yet. The 1918 flu variant that killed most of the victims with cytokine storms was the winter variant after the pandemic started. Something like the fifth or sixth wave.

That's because Delta "kick starts" the infection with a huge (relative) number of copies of itself.

Technically, a single virus copy can infect a person although that's not very likely for most diseases. It replicates itself, generating hundreds of copies that generate hundreds more each, and so on. The smaller the initial infection, the more time the patient has before symptoms develop and the slower those symptoms come on.

Delta infects with a gigantic number of particles expelled from the upper respiratory tract of people infected, so instead of starting with e.g. 10 virus copies, you start with ~2000. That means everything happens faster, and the variant is more infectious because of the increased viral load in the air.

With variants like Delta, reinfection is quite possible because of the viral load people develop in their respiratory tract.

Delta is sort of like a fire hose spraying viral copies compared to a large syringe spraying virus (the alpha variant). Because it infects with so many copies of itself, Delta gets a "head start" on infecting the rest of the body.

If the person is vaccinated, they will likely not get a serious case of COVID because their immune system will destroy the virus. It doesn't happen instantly, though, so they'll get a short term infection. Because of how COVID works, that means vaccinated people who get temporarily infected can spread the virus for a while, until their body kills it off.

If they spread it to another vaccinated person, then it will do the same thing over again. If they spread it to an unvaccinated person, then....

Uh... this sort of prediction assumes no change in the circumstances which affect infections... like no change in how many people interact with other people, how many of those people are vaccinated, whether any concerts or rallies are held, whether it's sunny out, how warm or cold it is, whether school is in session, etc.

*edit: Also, variants

Since all those things are changing constantly in real life, creating a graph like this is misleading at best, propaganda at worst.

We probably won't definitively know we're out of this wave until after it's over.

You don't hunt, and that's fine. Some people do, and they've been doing it for long enough that it's a cultural practice, family tradition, etc.

Just respect others practices that you don't agree with. Tolerance is a worthwhile virtue.

I believe you mean "hoisted ON their own petard". It's originally from Shakespeare's Hamlet, meaning negatively affected by their own plan.

The other concern (apart from limits not appropriately set) is that research suggests that which wolf you kill matters. Kill an "extra" juvenile male on his own and there would be minimal effect. Kill a pack leader (the family head of that pack) and you might well doom the entire pack, depending on a lot of things.

Hunting wolves is heavily politicized, and there are issues getting the authorities to pay more attention to science and less to lobbying.

As I noted in a post above, he didn't get in, and took the rifle away when asked to do so.

According to another article about that specifically, he was "stopped without incident by a school resource officer". So, he didn't actually get in to the meeting with it.

https://www.medcitybeat.com/news-blog/2021/rochester-public-schools-extra-steps-security-next-board-meeting

If you reach molten iron, you're going to have to just accept that you're on a moving planet and that because of this your driveway will crack.

I suggest pavers.

Unfortunately, no. Infections by multiple strains at once are possible 😕

Be careful. There's a historic preservation association that's sort of made Minnetonka and its wrecks/ruins into a sacred site. They publicly get upset at anyone who disturbs anything, even if it's legal. They're practically rabid.

Then it's not bedrock.

Obviously you do a drill core and obtain a geotechnical analysis of the soil column, then either excavate to the needed depth or (if it's simpler/cheaper) you drive pilings at intervals down to the bedrock and build a series of spans between them on which to build the actual driveway surface.

Sort of like a bridge, but instead of open air or water under it there's soil right up to the underside of the deck.

If the gas turbine is newer (<10 years old) it can actually be up to 60% or so efficient. However, your point stands.

neither one wants to use it as a weapon though because the other would respond in kind.

Not really. Both sides know it's fairly useless as a weapon for the same reason nuclear weapons aren't really usable as a last resort - the side effects, political fallout, and potential for blowback mean it's better to use a conventional weapon in pretty much every case. Especially since more and more war is being conducted by remote control.

Marine grade is a very high quality plywood with no voids and high manufacturing tolerances. It should make a very good underlayment if it's the right thickness.

It's not anti-rot or anything like that, just very solidly made and stronger than most plywood. It probably won't even warp if it gets wet, although sealing it is a good idea anyway.

Lauan is far inferior as a product, even underlayment grades.

To answer OPs question, a sealant will not prevent spray adhesive from working.

Rupert Murdoch plus the same conservatism/fascism being seen in the US and UK. Lots of older folks clinging to power and money who don't want to admit they don't "matter".