This is one driver of the big disasters like storms, droughts, floods, heat waves and other bad weather that is all being amplified by climate.
The newest month for which there is a full 5-month run would be October/24 which showed a cooling trend, but in the past 60 days it kicked back to a dramatic warming /el nino conditions. Supposedly they forecast a 60% chance of a switch back to neutral conditions in March-April-May.
You can change the region area view to ‘nino 3.4’, which is a 5-month running trend of the nino area.
Explanation of the nino 3.4 tool is at this page:
https://climatedataguide.ucar.edu/climate-data/nino-sst-indices-nino-12-3-34-4-oni-and-tni
This is one driver of the big disasters like storms, droughts, floods, heat waves and other bad weather that is all being amplified by climate.
The newest month for which there is a full 5-month run would be October/24 which showed a cooling trend, but in the past 60 days it kicked back to a dramatic warming /el nino conditions. Supposedly they forecast a 60% chance of a switch back to neutral conditions in March-April-May.