| Party | Seats (Current) | Seats Change | Percentage (Current) | Percentage Change | Majority Probability | Minority Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | 189 | +29 | 43.1% | +10.5% | 74.7% | 18.4% |
| Conservative | 127 | +8 | 40.4% | +6.7% | 1.9% | 5% |
| Bloc | 20 | -12 | 4.6% | -3% | 0% | 0% |
| New Democrat | 5 | -20 | 6.1% | -11.7% | N/A | N/A |
We shouldn’t normalise ‘most seats = minority government’. They can do their fucking jobs and form a government that represents 60% of the people instead of letting one form that represents 40%.
Coalition -> Electoral Reform -> Election #2
That would be the best outcome for the country.
It’s common to use “plurality” instead, probably for that reason. If the Conservatives win a plurality they probably aren’t going to form a coalition (or similar). I don’t think even the bloc would be interested this time around.