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Cake day: April 28th, 2025

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  • EU leaders and Western governments are afraid of cutting Israel off from SWIFT, but financial pressure doesn’t destroy relationships permanently — it forces negotiations, and business always finds its way back once terms improve.

    They fear suspending the EU-Israel Association Agreement, worried they’ll lose valuable tech partnerships. But Israeli companies still want and need access to the European market — the EU is Israel’s largest trading partner, especially for high-tech exports. Even if Israel looks to other countries, that market cannot easily be replaced. Trade will resume — just with better political leverage.

    They avoid defense and tech embargoes, concerned about losing defense contracts and strategic influence over Israel’s security policies. But defense is a seller’s market, and Israel would return to the table once economic pressure starts to bite. In the meantime, Europe could strengthen its own defense and technology industries instead of relying on external partnerships.

    They’re scared of diplomatic isolation, thinking it means losing all influence over Israel’s decisions and future cooperation. But political isolation sends the clearest possible message on the global stage. It doesn’t end relationships forever — it forces accountability before Israel permanently pivots toward powers like China or Russia.

    In the end, Western governments are paralyzed by fears of temporary consequences, while doing nothing guarantees the current reality continues unchecked.




  • The import of coal from Russia has already stopped, they are in the process of ending oil imports, but the situation is different when it comes to gas.

    Although the share of Russian gas in the EU dropped from 45 percent in 2021 to 13 percent now, Russia still earns 23 billion euros per year from it. Despite the restrictions, Russian energy exports remain an important source of income for the Kremlin.

    The EU member states and the European Parliament still need to approve the plans. The expectation is that the plan will lead to fierce debate, especially from Hungary and Slovakia. These countries are the most pro-Russian and still rely heavily on Russian energy.

    But Commission President Von der Leyen says that the energy coming to Europe must not contribute to the war against Ukraine. “We owe that to our citizens, our businesses, and our brave Ukrainian friends.” 👏🏽💪🇪🇺🇺🇦

    source

    Von der Leyen’s Plan to End Russian Gas Imports by 2027 (REPowerEU) (Sources: Reuters, AP News, Financial Times, Euronews, Kyiv Independent) Key Measures:

    • Ban on new gas contracts after 2025
    • End existing contracts by 2027
    • Mandatory transparency for gas deals
    • Switch to LNG from other suppliers & renewables
    • Help for Hungary & Slovakia to transition

    To overcome opposition from Hungary and Slovakia, the EU will use qualified majority voting, so no single country can veto the plan. Each country must submit its own phase-out plan, tailored to its situation. The EU is offering financial tools under the REPowerEU plan to help countries support their companies exiting Russian deals and phase out Russian energy. These include grants and loans from the recovery fund, support from the European Investment Bank, and targeted funds for energy infrastructure and renewables, like Hungary receiving €700 million in grants and applying for €3.9 billion in loans to upgrade its energy system.

    God I love Ursula von der Leyen and everyone working on this