I have no idea about William Hill. But the odds they describe sound about right to me, and the Nate Silver thing and the summary of Trump’s speech sound informative

inb4 BIDEN COPIUM HAHAHA etc and etc

    • jj4211@lemmy.world
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      4 months ago

      The answer is no one knows. If you care, vote and don’t be complacent. Even if the news decides they think they know, they still don’t know.

      • emax_gomax@lemmy.world
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        4 months ago

        In a race to the bottom I never bet against trump. Literally if Biden stops talking today I bet he’d have a better chance of winning by the end of it.

    • normalexit@lemmy.world
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      4 months ago

      The person losing more is the one that most recently opened their mouth and reminded voters who they are.

    • gamermanh@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      4 months ago

      While it looks like half the country is split between this dipshits, in reality the majority of Americans agree on a shockingly high number of issues.

      One of those issues is that both options are fucking awful, so who’s “losing” harder is matter of witchcraft at the moment as things violently spiral into the ridiculous

      • Asafum@feddit.nl
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        4 months ago

        in reality the majority of Americans agree on a shockingly high number of issues.

        And it’s exactly why I say this every single day in some comment or another: I FUCKING HATE PROPAGANDISTS!!!

        What you said is absolutely true and without the likes of Fucker Carlson, Sean Hamface, and Laura Inbread, we’d actually have some fucking semblance of unity and solidarity… But no, we get divide and conquer… Hate hate hate hate. Fox primetime is literally the “two minutes hate” from 1984 with an ever changing Goldstein.

      • CharlesDarwin@lemmy.world
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        4 months ago

        Biden is not really that awful as an option, as far as it goes. If he is in decline, he steps down after the win. It’s not like Biden as a choice is comparable to donnie as a choice. They are night and day.

        Now, trying to sell Biden as a product to “independents” (aka, the low info) because we sell politicians like the way we sell consumer goods like fizzy sugar water - that’s not so great, since the bothsiderists keep acting like they are equally bad options.

    • InternetUser2012@lemmy.today
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      4 months ago

      Just vote, volunteer to help give rides to people that wouldn’t be able to vote without it. If everyone votes, there will be no chance for the racist rapist with 34 felonies that has said on record that he will be a dictator.

    • PepperoniNipple@lemmynsfw.com
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      4 months ago

      This is the expected psychological effect these headlines and polls the media penetrate on us provoke. The insecurity of not knowing who is winning can inspire a lot of people to not vote at all. “why vote if we are winning easily anyway?”, “I feel saturated, stressed up, maybe I should ignore politics for a while, not vote or vote for whoever at this point”. Things like that.

      Remember that the owners of medias are human beings with agendas too, republicans and democrats.

      Best thing we can do is force ourselves to vote no matter what, investigate both candidates deeply, and that’s it. Of course republicans don’t do the second part though, that’s a fact.

    • RagingRobot@lemmy.world
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      4 months ago

      No one has voted yet so no one is ahead or behind. It’s all speculation and a waste of time

    • Sho@lemmy.world
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      4 months ago

      Same, it’s like bad actors are muddying the waters on purpose, ignore it all. Vote

    • enbyecho@lemmy.world
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      4 months ago

      Losing implies that something happened. Like in a race a contestant is visibly ahead, or in gambling you have more chips than someone else or your money is all gone.

      • EatATaco@lemm.ee
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        4 months ago

        The polls are literally telling you that it’s neck and neck right now. If this isn’t clear to you, the problem isn’t the polls.

        • JimSamtanko@lemm.ee
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          4 months ago

          I don’t cast my vote based on polls polls and no one should. They’re full of shit. Everyone needs to vote like they don’t exist.

          • EatATaco@lemm.ee
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            4 months ago

            They’re full of shit.

            While I agree that people should vote like they don’t exist, the reality is that they do a good job of giving you an idea of where voters stand. They were historically accurate in 2022.

            If you think “they’re full of shit” it’s almost certainly a problem of understanding rather than with the polls themselves. Considering you haven’t really made an argument as to why, I can’t know for sure.

    • John_McMurray@lemmy.world
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      4 months ago

      They’re lying cause Trumps winning to the point high level democratic members are openly admitting Bidens gonna lose. All this is pitiful window dressing.